Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 3.853823 4.112372 4.387725 4.704212 5.059708 5.448799 5.909776
2025-09-28 3.406466 3.761489 4.161995 4.652649 5.245210 5.948164 6.861733
2025-10-05 3.151879 3.559938 4.038485 4.651598 5.432544 6.418547 7.801433
2025-10-12 3.006128 3.458380 4.006033 4.734967 5.708131 7.009452 8.975065
2025-10-19 2.885125 3.369811 3.972623 4.801576 5.955126 7.581067 10.219434
2025-10-26 2.763926 3.268009 3.908770 4.814230 6.119864 8.048281 11.393738
2025-11-02 2.628537 3.136888 3.793933 4.742272 6.148953 8.307739 12.273204
2025-11-09 2.492072 2.995297 3.654151 4.621012 6.087884 8.410613 12.889164
2025-11-16 2.387660 2.889915 3.555903 4.549546 6.091906 8.614643 13.738504
2025-11-23 2.328157 2.840978 3.531201 4.581500 6.257577 9.111680 15.312309
2025-11-30 2.268901 2.788780 3.497889 4.596338 6.394562 9.575639 16.963766
2025-12-07 2.167184 2.673424 3.368573 4.455187 6.257545 9.510358 17.344429
2025-12-14 2.084863 2.584013 3.275441 4.369171 6.215232 9.638068 18.308403
2025-12-21 2.019632 2.516124 3.210519 4.323554 6.239409 9.903405 19.760267
2025-12-28 1.971761 2.470537 3.175612 4.322627 6.341490 10.344107 21.930576
2026-01-04 1.947307 2.456968 3.186947 4.396547 6.586481 11.136643 25.711507
2026-01-11 1.920521 2.438609 3.189629 4.455536 6.809339 11.928742 30.161388
2026-01-18 1.883679 2.403942 3.165397 4.466736 6.940012 12.531255 34.453648
2026-01-25 1.831301 2.344509 3.100192 4.403019 6.914184 12.736829 37.141127
2026-02-01 1.771601 2.272429 3.012590 4.295484 6.789676 12.665009 38.376028
2026-02-08 1.725110 2.218671 2.951809 4.232010 6.751305 12.820437 41.124289
2026-02-15 1.701710 2.198607 2.943219 4.260399 6.908398 13.550491 48.548768
2026-02-22 1.676159 2.174397 2.926888 4.273578 7.034055 14.224790 57.130534